Over/Under Testing Thread

[bettify]

So, this is only testing thread for Over/Under bets based on Poisson distribution.

avs_kz, if you're interested, feel free to post your own suggested bets in here, and I'll now take a look at tonight's fixtures in English leagues and will post in here if I find anything interesting.

Note: This is only for testing purposes, so I won't be backing any of these bets with real money.

[bettify]

Coventry vs Millwall, England League Championship, 2012-04-17
Fair Odds O/U: 2.48 - 1.68

Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.85 bet365
Stake: 10/10

Hull vs Barnsley, England League Championship, 2012-04-17
Fair Odds O/U: 2.56 - 1.64

Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.73 BetVictor
Stake: 8/10

Ipswich vs Birmingham, England League Championship, 2012-04-17
Fair Odds O/U: 1.64 - 2.55

Bet: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.76 Titanbet
Stake: 10/10

Leicester vs Burnley, England League Championship, 2012-04-17
Fair Odds O/U: 1.95 - 2.05

Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 2.20 BetVictor
Stake: 6/10

Peterborough vs Southampton, England League Championship, 2012-04-17
Fair Odds O/U: 1.50 - 3.00

Bet: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.62 Boylesports
Stake: 10/10

Reading vs Nottingham, England League Championship, 2012-04-17
Fair Odds O/U: 2.14 - 1.88

Bet: Under 2.5 Goals:
Odds: 2.10 BetVictor
Stake: 10/10

[bettify]

Quite a lot bets from only English Championship, and all with quite huge stakes according to Kelly criterion.

Let's see how this works tonight, but obviously there should be added some other criteria which would decrease number of selections.

[avs_kz]

ok

[bettify]

This was actually quite good - 4 out of 6

Staked: 54 units
Return: 68.9 units
Profit: 14.9 units

[avs_kz]

very good please test every day

[bettify]

Ok, French league today.

Marseille vs Caen, France Ligue 1, 2012-04-18
Fair Odds O/U: 2.07 - 1.94

Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 2.00 bet365
Stake: 4/10

Toulouse vs Lyon, France Ligue 1, 2012-04-18
Fair Odds O/U: 2.83 - 1.55

Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.67 coral
Stake: 10/10

[avs_kz]

hi admin i have very good idea about this strategy.to take into consideration last 6 games both team? by poisson predict total. Can you do this?

[bettify]

i will try to do this, thanks for the idea.

[bettify]

hi admin i have very good idea about this strategy.to take into consideration last 6 games both team? by poisson predict total. Can you do this?

I didnt have time for this to try and implement, will do as soon as I find some spare time